Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 10.983129 12.629823 14.391481 16.410903 18.656170 21.070268 23.856414
2025-11-16 8.437493 10.598606 13.073985 16.098331 19.671669 23.736671 28.686875
2025-11-23 6.767769 9.119011 11.959920 15.603724 20.108137 25.446869 32.201536
2025-11-30 5.819711 8.319798 11.478033 15.692843 21.095354 27.708689 36.327721
2025-12-07 5.075200 7.657253 11.052409 15.745369 21.953604 29.766890 40.208934
2025-12-14 4.516340 7.160106 10.765482 15.908280 22.903833 31.923463 44.241940
2025-12-21 4.007982 6.664935 10.416618 15.928901 23.623686 33.767715 47.897879
2025-12-28 3.697177 6.416303 10.376031 16.346598 24.869746 36.321487 52.542602
2026-01-04 3.390915 6.136327 10.255978 16.624052 25.910026 38.612100 56.888075
2026-01-11 3.068628 5.793036 10.005808 16.680146 26.617708 40.449660 60.654122
2026-01-18 2.672777 5.284089 9.455268 16.239826 26.566559 41.204685 62.925320
2026-01-25 2.350899 4.861966 9.001004 15.904584 26.633660 42.104232 65.398152
2026-02-01 2.060588 4.465023 8.557992 15.560678 26.673418 42.971720 67.868715
2026-02-08 1.814158 4.117994 8.166307 15.266523 26.763349 43.901299 70.442609
2026-02-15 1.568987 3.741628 7.689084 14.793071 26.536773 44.335365 72.285680
2026-02-22 1.436669 3.570096 7.554811 14.878393 27.189851 46.099151 76.125285
2026-03-01 1.312980 3.400544 7.408299 14.928681 27.779978 47.775496 79.869010
2026-03-08 1.215152 3.273189 7.327809 15.084660 28.542483 49.732097 84.077463
2026-03-15 1.110122 3.116571 7.177845 15.104405 29.072332 51.333531 87.777121
2026-03-22 1.057334 3.071182 7.238378 15.504389 30.253755 53.989345 93.155972
2026-03-29 0.994047 2.993428 7.227817 15.770124 31.211300 56.309868 98.064317
2026-04-05 0.914907 2.867283 7.108734 15.823853 31.799467 58.047196 102.095750
2026-04-12 0.800048 2.635817 6.751868 15.402138 31.531559 58.378948 103.909741